Deep Dive Analysis
Sky (SKY)
2026-09-26 08:30 UTC · Oliver Schmidt · 35,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.01
0.01
52W HIGH
0.06
0.06
DRAWDOWN
-76.2%
-76.2%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🔴 AVOID — DO NOT DEPLOY
Trend-Following System · MEDIUM Conviction · 0 Bull / 7 Bear Factors
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, RSI weak (35.6), far below high, breakdown below lower band
SKY Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.02
Low: 0.01
Now: 0.01
Low: 0.01
Now: 0.01
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 35.6 | ADX (14) | 4.3 |
| 50d MA | 0.01 | 200d MA | 0.02 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.01 | Resistance | 0.01 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.05%/day | Trend | SELL |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| SKY | -0.0% | -5.7% | -4.3% | -36.3% |
| BTC | +5.4% | +30.8% | +9.3% | -10.2% |
| ETH | +8.4% | +43.6% | +26.4% | -18.0% |
| SOL | +16.9% | +62.0% | +41.4% | -12.6% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 35,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
34,485
RETURN
-1.5%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-1.5%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| SKY | -1.5% | -62.0% | -1.5% | 22 | 9% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (SKY)
If you had deployed 35,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -36.3% | 21,906 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -28.5% | 25,018 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -25.6% | 26,028 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -23.1% | 26,915 |
SKY Deployment Plan — 35,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Oliver Schmidt (Conservative / Institutional). If you’re managing a 35,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 5,250 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.01 (-0.1%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 10 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Conservative / Institutional.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-07-14 | BUY | 0.01 | |
| 2026-07-15 | SELL | 0.01 | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-16 | BUY | 0.01 | |
| 2026-07-17 | SELL | 0.01 | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-18 | BUY | 0.01 | |
| 2026-07-19 | SELL | 0.01 | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-20 | BUY | 0.01 | |
| 2026-07-21 | SELL | 0.01 | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-22 | BUY | 0.01 | |
| 2026-07-23 | SELL | 0.01 | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-24 | BUY | 0.01 | |
| 2026-07-25 | SELL | 0.01 | +0.0% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-26 08:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
0 bull factors vs 7 bear. ADX 4.3. even the trend followers gave up on this one, brutal
ADX that low means no trend at all, it just flatlined at 0.01. nothing to trade here in either direction
ADX of 4.3 says everything. That is a dead chart, no trend at all. Anyone averaging into SKY at 0.01 is catching a knife with no handle.
9% win rate on the backtest with 22 trades. Even Oliver Schmidt basically told people to keep the 35k in cash here. Respect the signal.
9% win rate over 22 trades is almost impressive in its consistency tbh. the system really said do not touch this
9% win rate over 22 trades and they still published it. that kind of honesty is rare, most newsletters would bury a signal that bad
9 of 22 is honesty, 0 bull vs 7 bear is the obituary. respect for not dressing up a dead chart
publishing a 9% win rate over 22 trades is wild but at least it matches the chart. ADX at 4.3 means the edge is basically zero either direction
agreed, most newsletters would have quietly dropped the 22 trade backtest and just said ‘wait for confirmation’. tho the ADX at 4.3 already told the whole story, nobody was trading this thing in either direction
honesty is great until you realize the backtest only exists so the sell call has a chart behind it. 9 wins out of 22 trades is a coin flip weighted against you
Support and resistance both at 0.01 is brutal. Flat line for months. Moved my SKY bag to stables a while back, no regrets.
same, rotated out in spring. watching RSI 35.6 on a 0.05 percent ATR chart is watching paint dry but slower
ADX 4.3 with support and resistance at the same number, the only trade is the one you dont make. cash pays 4% while SKY pays lessons
cash pays 4% while SKY pays lessons, stealing that for my group chat. 0 bull vs 7 bear factors and still people in my replies averaging down at 0.01, the copium supply is truly inelastic
averaging down at 0.01 means your downside target is literally zero. even the 0.01 quote feels generous for something with 7 bear factors and ADX 4.3
averaging down at 0.01 is wild when support AND resistance are both 0.01. what is there left to anchor to, vibes?
anchoring to vibes is generous, below 0.01 there is literally nothing left but decimal places. ADX 4.3 means even the sellers cant be bothered
below 0.01 the only trade left is hoping for a reverse split or another rename. SKY already did the rename half of that once
copium supply inelastic, stealing that. my guy still holds from the 0.06 days and quotes the maker merger like scripture, no letter from the CFTC saves him
From 0.06 to 0.01 and now support and resistance are the same price. Even the most patient buyer has nothing to anchor to.
sky at 0.01 with ADX 4.3, the chart is a straight line. a sell call here is basically do nothing with extra steps
9 percent win rate and ATR of 0.05 percent a day. the system never even had a chance to be wrong fast, this chart just sits there. credit for the honesty tho
a 35k portfolio doing a full deployment plan for a sell call on a 0.01 token is the funniest thing today. the plan is keep the 35k
keep the 35k is the actual signal here. even a savings account at 4% beats a chart with 0.05% daily ATR, the system said nothing louder than usual
keep the 35k is my favorite verdict line all month. printing a full deployment plan to say cash beats ADX 4.3 is poetry