This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Venice Token (VVV)
USD 20.19
USD 31.98
-36.9%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross
Bearish factors: price < 50d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (38.3), far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.66)
Low: USD 0.9484
Now: USD 20.19
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 38.3 | ADX (14) | 14.6 |
| 50d MA | USD 25.11 | 200d MA | USD 17.37 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 20.03 | Resistance | USD 26.95 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.29%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| VVV | -16.5% | +9.5% | +52.2% | +233.3% |
| BTC | -9.3% | -6.2% | +23.7% | +8.7% |
| ETH | -12.3% | -15.4% | +31.0% | +6.3% |
| SOL | -17.4% | -16.6% | +12.0% | -0.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 30,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| VVV | -7.0% | +24.8% | -47.2% | 10 | 30% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (VVV)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 30,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +233.3% | USD 37,447 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +29.4% | USD 38,824 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +28.7% | USD 38,599 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +28.3% | USD 38,489 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify VVV. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 20.03 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 26.95 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 18.46 (-8.6% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.8663 (4.29%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-29 | BUY | USD 16.08 | |
| 2026-09-09 | SELL | USD 25.88 | +61.0% |
| 2026-09-10 | BUY | USD 22.63 | |
| 2026-10-09 | SELL | USD 22.79 | +0.7% |
| 2026-10-12 | BUY | USD 24.69 | |
| 2026-10-13 | SELL | USD 22.36 | -9.4% |
| 2026-10-16 | BUY | USD 24.76 | |
| 2026-10-17 | SELL | USD 22.80 | -7.9% |
| 2026-10-21 | BUY | USD 25.50 | |
| 2026-10-24 | SELL | USD 25.07 | -1.7% |
| 2026-10-28 | BUY | USD 26.05 | |
| 2026-10-29 | SELL | USD 24.23 | -7.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
+233% on the year and it still gets a neutral rating, fair though with ADX at 14.6. no trend is no trend
ADX 14.6 is exactly why the neutral rating is right. trend followers got chopped to pieces on this all summer
Holding above the 200 day at 17.37 while drifting under the 25.11 fifty day. Classic consolidation after a big run, could break either way.
^ exactly, and support at 20.03 is barely 0.8% under spot. would want to see that hold before trusting the neutral label
if 20.03 goes the 200 day at 17.37 is the next real shelf, thats a 15% air pocket. watching, not holding
same read. the squeeze between 17.37 and 25.11 keeps tightening, something gives before year end
1y ago this was 6 bucks and the low was 0.9484. whoever caught that bottom is sitting on a 20x and still holding lol
privacy AI keeps gaining traction and VVV just drifts sideways for months. market is asleep on this one
or the market looked at the tokenomics and moved on lol. sideways after a 20x is not automatically a gift
Stage 1 label with OBV still dropping and a volume ratio of 0.66 is generous. bottoms take forever, grabbed a small stack near 20.05 anyway