This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Ethereum Classic (ETC)
USD 6.71
USD 39.92
-83.2%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: golden cross
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (35.8), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 36.6)
Low: USD 6.02
Now: USD 6.71
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 35.8 | ADX (14) | 36.6 |
| 50d MA | USD 8.08 | 200d MA | USD 7.70 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 6.55 | Resistance | USD 8.54 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.87%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| ETC | -13.7% | -15.1% | -4.2% | -21.1% |
| BTC | -9.3% | -6.2% | +23.7% | +8.7% |
| ETH | -12.3% | -15.4% | +31.0% | +6.3% |
| SOL | -17.4% | -16.6% | +12.0% | -0.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 15,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| ETC | -6.7% | -63.6% | -31.0% | 56 | 43% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (ETC)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 15,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -21.1% | USD 6,113 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -26.9% | USD 10,972 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -28.6% | USD 10,708 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -24.2% | USD 11,365 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify ETC. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 6.55 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 8.54 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 6.06 (-9.7% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.3270 (4.87%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-23 | BUY | USD 8.73 | |
| 2026-09-24 | SELL | USD 9.38 | +7.5% |
| 2026-09-25 | BUY | USD 9.49 | |
| 2026-09-26 | SELL | USD 9.44 | -0.6% |
| 2026-09-27 | BUY | USD 9.60 | |
| 2026-09-28 | SELL | USD 9.28 | -3.3% |
| 2026-09-29 | BUY | USD 9.09 | |
| 2026-09-30 | SELL | USD 8.89 | -2.2% |
| 2026-10-01 | BUY | USD 8.87 | |
| 2026-10-08 | SELL | USD 8.05 | -9.2% |
| 2026-10-09 | BUY | USD 8.37 | |
| 2026-10-12 | SELL | USD 8.00 | -4.5% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
down 83% from 39.92 and the single bullish factor is a golden cross. that is cope in indicator form
golden crosses inside a Stage 4 downtrend fail constantly, watched the same signal fake out on ETC twice already this year
cope in indicator form is going straight into my notes, accurate
RSI 35.8 and falling 1m & 3m on top of it. that golden cross gets invalidated before it even prints lol
bag from the 15 dollar days here. if 6.02 support breaks this gets ugly, been mapping exits around 6.55 all week
6.55 exits feel optimistic with ADX at 36.6 imo, strong trends dont hand you clean exits. trimmed mine at 6.9 last week
etc at 6.71 feels done but every bounce this year got sold into. waiting for a weekly close over the 50d before touching this again