This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Bitget Token (BGB)
USD 1.72
USD 8.49
-79.7%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: golden cross
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (31.3), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.49)
Low: USD 1.23
Now: USD 1.72
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 31.3 | ADX (14) | 18.4 |
| 50d MA | USD 1.91 | 200d MA | USD 1.86 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 1.69 | Resistance | USD 2.05 |
| ATR Volatility | 2.77%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| BGB | -8.9% | -13.9% | +7.5% | -18.5% |
| BTC | -9.3% | -6.2% | +23.7% | +8.7% |
| ETH | -12.3% | -15.4% | +31.0% | +6.3% |
| SOL | -17.4% | -16.6% | +12.0% | -0.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 35,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| BGB | -16.1% | -67.2% | -21.7% | 50 | 40% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (BGB)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 35,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -18.5% | USD 14,740 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -26.2% | USD 25,837 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -26.3% | USD 25,778 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -22.4% | USD 27,162 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify BGB. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 1.69 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 2.05 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 1.63 (-5.5% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.0477 (2.77%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-13 | BUY | USD 1.92 | |
| 2026-09-14 | SELL | USD 1.94 | +1.0% |
| 2026-09-15 | BUY | USD 1.88 | |
| 2026-09-16 | SELL | USD 1.91 | +1.6% |
| 2026-09-17 | BUY | USD 1.93 | |
| 2026-09-18 | SELL | USD 1.99 | +3.3% |
| 2026-09-19 | BUY | USD 2.01 | |
| 2026-09-20 | SELL | USD 2.01 | +0.2% |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | USD 2.11 | |
| 2026-09-23 | SELL | USD 2.04 | -3.5% |
| 2026-09-24 | BUY | USD 1.96 | |
| 2026-10-07 | SELL | USD 1.95 | -0.1% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
8 of 9 factors bearish and the lone bull case is a golden cross from months ago, tough look for BGB holders
79.7% drawdown from the 8.49 high and people still calling it a discount lol, resistance at 2.05 might as well be the moon
that 2.05 wall is sitting right on the 200 day too. not sure why anyone buys before it reclaims that level
RSI at 31.3 with price sitting right on 1.69 support. If that breaks this goes from Stage 4 downtrend to freefall real quick
the 1.69 support held 3 tests since october though, each on declining volume. less freefall, more compression imo
bought the 1.69 bounce twice this week, thin volume both times. if RSI drops under 31 im just out