This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
USDGO (USDGO)
USD 0.9999
USD 1.01
-1.2%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: MACD bull cross, near 52w high, strong bull trend (ADX 61.6), accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.47)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m
Low: USD 0.9987
Now: USD 0.9999
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 49.1 | ADX (14) | 61.6 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.9999 | 200d MA | USD 0.9999 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.9995 | Resistance | USD 1.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.07%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| USDGO | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | — |
| BTC | -9.3% | -6.2% | +23.7% | +8.7% |
| ETH | -12.3% | -15.4% | +31.0% | +6.3% |
| SOL | -17.4% | -16.6% | +12.0% | -0.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 12,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| USDGO | -0.1% | -0.0% | -0.1% | 6 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (USDGO)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 12,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +0.0% | USD 11,997 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -0.0% | USD 12,000 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -0.0% | USD 11,998 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -0.0% | USD 11,999 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify USDGO. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.9995 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1.00 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.9985 (-0.1% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.000711 (0.07%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-10-03 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-04 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-07 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-12 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-15 | SELL | USD 0.9999 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-17 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-21 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-22 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-24 | SELL | USD 0.9999 | -0.0% |
| 2026-11-04 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-11-05 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -0.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
a whole trend model for something trading at 0.9999. it is a peg, the only story is whether it holds or not
tbf the monitor caught the -1.2% drawdown from the 1.01 high. small depeg moves were the first warning on other stablecoins, worth watching
macd bull cross and death cross in the same factor list, model says neutral. even the indicators cant agree on a dollar coin lol