This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
XDC Network (XDC)
USD 0.0300
USD 0.1559
-80.8%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising
Bearish factors: price < 50d, MACD-, RSI weak (41.8), far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.71)
Low: USD 0.0259
Now: USD 0.0300
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 41.8 | ADX (14) | 12.1 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.0325 | 200d MA | USD 0.0298 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 0.0291 | Resistance | USD 0.0359 |
| ATR Volatility | 5.16%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| XDC | -13.7% | +5.8% | +5.1% | -13.3% |
| BTC | -12.3% | -5.9% | +17.8% | +4.0% |
| ETH | -16.9% | -16.7% | +17.0% | -0.8% |
| SOL | -22.2% | -18.2% | +1.0% | -6.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 12,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| XDC | -18.6% | -49.5% | -33.4% | 48 | 40% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (XDC)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 12,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -13.3% | USD 6,292 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -13.0% | USD 10,438 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -14.1% | USD 10,305 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -11.6% | USD 10,612 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify XDC. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.0291 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.0359 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.0269 (-10.3% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.001549 (5.16%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-28 | BUY | USD 0.0346 | |
| 2026-09-29 | SELL | USD 0.0332 | -4.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | BUY | USD 0.0347 | |
| 2026-10-01 | SELL | USD 0.0343 | -1.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | BUY | USD 0.0338 | |
| 2026-10-03 | SELL | USD 0.0329 | -2.7% |
| 2026-10-04 | BUY | USD 0.0325 | |
| 2026-10-05 | SELL | USD 0.0329 | +1.2% |
| 2026-10-06 | BUY | USD 0.0338 | |
| 2026-10-25 | SELL | USD 0.0310 | -8.4% |
| 2026-10-26 | BUY | USD 0.0336 | |
| 2026-10-30 | SELL | USD 0.0313 | -6.7% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
3 bullish factors vs 5 bearish and the model calls it neutral lol. OBV distribution plus that 0.71 volume ratio says everything, nobody is accumulating XDC here
kinda the point of a neutral rating tho, mixed signals. but yeah 0.71 vol ratio is rough, the down days get all the volume
Golden cross and price above the 200d, yet RSI at 41.8. Price is coasting on old momentum. I want to see the 50d reclaim before trusting any bounce.