This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
PancakeSwap (CAKE)
USD 1.82
USD 4.57
-60.1%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross
Bearish factors: price < 50d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (36.1), falling 1m & 3m, far below high
Low: USD 1.13
Now: USD 1.82
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 36.1 | ADX (14) | 21.3 |
| 50d MA | USD 2.22 | 200d MA | USD 1.73 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 1.77 | Resistance | USD 2.38 |
| ATR Volatility | 5.03%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| CAKE | -18.4% | -18.6% | +30.6% | +31.2% |
| BTC | -12.3% | -5.9% | +17.8% | +4.0% |
| ETH | -16.9% | -16.7% | +17.0% | -0.8% |
| SOL | -22.2% | -18.2% | +1.0% | -6.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 30,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| CAKE | -20.1% | -20.2% | -60.2% | 53 | 47% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (CAKE)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 30,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +31.2% | USD 22,178 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +15.1% | USD 34,535 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +3.9% | USD 31,157 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +9.8% | USD 32,936 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify CAKE. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 1.77 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 2.38 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 1.64 (-10.1% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.0918 (5.03%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-14 | BUY | USD 1.43 | |
| 2026-08-15 | SELL | USD 1.43 | +0.2% |
| 2026-08-16 | BUY | USD 1.45 | |
| 2026-08-17 | SELL | USD 1.46 | +1.1% |
| 2026-08-18 | BUY | USD 1.53 | |
| 2026-08-21 | SELL | USD 1.76 | +15.3% |
| 2026-08-25 | BUY | USD 1.71 | |
| 2026-10-08 | SELL | USD 2.15 | +25.6% |
| 2026-10-10 | BUY | USD 2.27 | |
| 2026-10-12 | SELL | USD 2.26 | -0.4% |
| 2026-10-13 | BUY | USD 2.30 | |
| 2026-10-14 | SELL | USD 2.24 | -2.7% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
60% off the high, sitting right on 1.77 support, RSI 36. bottoming stage checks out but every bounce this year died at the 2.22 line
+31% on the year while down 18% this month is such a CAKE thing. up if you bought the despair, rekt if you chased the relief rally
2.38 resistance needs a real retest before i believe anything here. ADX 21, model says neutral, i say wait