This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
USD 221.38
USD 668.06
-66.9%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: golden cross
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (27.7), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 31.9), distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.38)
Low: USD 181.24
Now: USD 221.38
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 27.7 | ADX (14) | 31.9 |
| 50d MA | USD 282.23 | 200d MA | USD 271.72 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 214.74 | Resistance | USD 303.95 |
| ATR Volatility | 6.05%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| BCH | -21.5% | -2.9% | -9.2% | -50.8% |
| BTC | -15.0% | -10.7% | +8.4% | +2.4% |
| ETH | -18.7% | -22.9% | +8.7% | -1.6% |
| SOL | -22.5% | -22.2% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 15,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| BCH | +41.3% | -45.2% | -36.9% | 48 | 38% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (BCH)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 15,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -50.8% | USD 6,921 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -38.6% | USD 9,205 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -38.1% | USD 9,292 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -33.5% | USD 9,977 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify BCH. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 214.74 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 303.95 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 194.60 (-12.1% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 13.39 (6.05%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-10-19 | BUY | USD 280.22 | |
| 2026-10-20 | SELL | USD 283.05 | +1.0% |
| 2026-10-21 | BUY | USD 285.93 | |
| 2026-10-22 | SELL | USD 274.74 | -3.9% |
| 2026-10-23 | BUY | USD 282.13 | |
| 2026-10-24 | SELL | USD 277.65 | -1.6% |
| 2026-10-26 | BUY | USD 280.36 | |
| 2026-10-27 | SELL | USD 295.90 | +5.5% |
| 2026-10-28 | BUY | USD 288.71 | |
| 2026-10-29 | SELL | USD 273.48 | -5.3% |
| 2026-10-30 | BUY | USD 293.76 | |
| 2026-10-31 | SELL | USD 284.96 | -3.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
1 bullish signal out of 10 and its a stale golden cross. RSI 27.7 below both moving averages, this downtrend aint done
214.74 is the line. lose that and the 181 low gets retested fast, ADX 31.9 means this trend has real teeth
down 66.9% from 668 and the momentum crowd is already calling it capitulation. seen this movie, catching at 221 hurts