This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
NEAR Protocol (NEAR)
USD 3.48
USD 8.24
-57.7%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.2)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (37.0), far below high
Low: USD 0.8645
Now: USD 3.48
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 37.0 | ADX (14) | 23.2 |
| 50d MA | USD 4.59 | 200d MA | USD 2.67 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 3.27 | Resistance | USD 5.43 |
| ATR Volatility | 9.81%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| NEAR | -25.7% | +47.1% | +73.0% | +186.8% |
| BTC | -15.0% | -10.7% | +8.4% | +2.4% |
| ETH | -18.7% | -22.9% | +8.7% | -1.6% |
| SOL | -22.5% | -22.2% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 12,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| NEAR | -17.5% | +41.5% | -53.9% | 45 | 40% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (NEAR)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 12,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +186.8% | USD 17,788 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +131.8% | USD 27,817 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +91.1% | USD 22,931 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +102.3% | USD 24,274 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify NEAR. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 3.27 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 5.43 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 2.80 (-19.6% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.3416 (9.81%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-05-16 | BUY | USD 1.50 | |
| 2026-05-17 | SELL | USD 1.51 | +0.5% |
| 2026-05-18 | BUY | USD 1.62 | |
| 2026-05-19 | SELL | USD 1.60 | -1.4% |
| 2026-05-20 | BUY | USD 1.70 | |
| 2026-05-21 | SELL | USD 1.92 | +13.2% |
| 2026-05-26 | BUY | USD 2.54 | |
| 2026-06-23 | SELL | USD 1.98 | -22.2% |
| 2026-08-21 | BUY | USD 1.97 | |
| 2026-09-18 | SELL | USD 3.76 | +91.4% |
| 2026-09-28 | BUY | USD 4.82 | |
| 2026-10-29 | SELL | USD 4.05 | -16.1% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
3 bullish vs 5 bearish factors and they call it neutral lol. RSI 37 sitting just above 3.27 support feels more like indecision than actual bottoming
thats literally what stage 1 means tho, model waits for confirmation. but fair point, 50d ma at 4.59 is miles away, no trend yet
been holding since it was under a buck near that 0.86 low. only thing keeping me patient is price still above the 200d at 2.67
^ held thru the 8.24 top down to this, respect. watching 5.43 resistance if the accumulation signal keeps up