Deep Dive Analysis
Shiba Inu (SHIB)
2026-07-31 08:31 UTC · Oliver Schmidt · 35,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.00
0.00
DRAWDOWN
-0%
-0%
STAGE
Stage 3 (Topping)
Stage 3 (Topping)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 3 Bull / 2 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: RSI healthy (63.4), strong bull trend (ADX 52.1), accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 3.5)
Bearish factors: 50d falling, far below high
SHIB Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 63.4 | ADX (14) | 52.1 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.09%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| SHIB | +17.8% | -5.8% | -21.5% | -41.1% |
| BTC | -0.4% | -13.0% | -5.9% | -24.6% |
| ETH | +5.2% | -6.1% | -8.0% | -31.7% |
| SOL | -5.7% | -10.1% | -14.5% | -42.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 35,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
25,583
RETURN
-26.9%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-26.9%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| SHIB | -26.9% | -70.6% | -26.9% | 33 | 9% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (SHIB)
If you had deployed 35,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -41.1% | 13,738 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -42.0% | 20,312 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -39.6% | 21,140 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -34.1% | 23,065 |
SHIB Deployment Plan — 35,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Oliver Schmidt (Conservative / Institutional). If you’re managing a 35,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 5,250 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Entry quality | Unknown (R:R None) |
| Max concurrent positions | 10 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Conservative / Institutional.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2025-09-21 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2025-09-22 | SELL | 0.00 | -7.7% |
| 2026-01-09 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-01-10 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-01-14 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-22 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-23 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-25 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-26 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-27 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-28 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-07-31 08:31 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
ADX 52 and they still call it HOLD? thats a strong trend my guy, not a topping signal
shiba_pilot ADX at 52 is strong trend but SHIB historically has 3 day pumps followed by 3 month grinds. HOLD rating makes sense if you look at the 50d slope
RSI at 63.4 is barely warm though. seen way worse entries on SHIB back in 2021
^ exactly, people screaming top when ADX is literally trending hard. the 50d falling is the only real bear case here
35K deployment into a token with zero fundamentals beyond meme value is wild. at least the ADX supports the trend for now
Devon M. 35K on SHIB in 2026 is honestly brave. the 50d falling while ADX is 52 just means the trend is strongly down. not a buy signal