This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Ethereum (ETH)
USD 2,074.04
USD 4,953.73
-58.1%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: golden cross
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (32.5), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.73)
Low: USD 1,386.80
Now: USD 2,074.04
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 32.5 | ADX (14) | 24.8 |
| 50d MA | USD 2,442.63 | 200d MA | USD 2,150.96 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 2,005.43 | Resistance | USD 2,534.77 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.43%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| ETH | -16.1% | -15.9% | +18.1% | +0.1% |
| BTC | -12.0% | -5.6% | +18.2% | +4.3% |
| ETH | -16.1% | -15.9% | +18.1% | +0.1% |
| SOL | -20.7% | -16.6% | +3.0% | -4.5% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 10,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| ETH | +34.9% | -18.0% | -22.6% | 60 | 48% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (ETH)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 10,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +0.1% | USD 6,077 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -7.5% | USD 9,249 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -14.2% | USD 8,582 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -8.6% | USD 9,135 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify ETH. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 2,005.43 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 2,534.77 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 1,890.32 (-8.9% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 91.86 (4.43%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-11 | BUY | USD 1,881.37 | |
| 2026-08-12 | SELL | USD 1,878.13 | -0.2% |
| 2026-08-13 | BUY | USD 1,883.99 | |
| 2026-08-14 | SELL | USD 1,880.65 | -0.2% |
| 2026-08-15 | BUY | USD 1,880.91 | |
| 2026-08-16 | SELL | USD 1,873.94 | -0.4% |
| 2026-08-17 | BUY | USD 1,912.20 | |
| 2026-08-18 | SELL | USD 1,916.46 | +0.2% |
| 2026-08-28 | BUY | USD 2,442.54 | |
| 2026-08-29 | SELL | USD 2,457.69 | +0.6% |
| 2026-08-30 | BUY | USD 2,417.94 | |
| 2026-10-08 | SELL | USD 2,471.91 | +2.2% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
1 bullish factor out of 8 and its the golden cross lol. that thing has been lagging garbage the whole way down from 4,953
RSI 32.5 with ADX at 24.8 means the downtrend still has legs dan, buying here is knife catching imo
The funny part is ETH sat at 2,071 a year ago. A full year of chop and it lands within 3 dollars of the same price.
flat over 1y while btc is only down 5.6% on the month. eth/btc just bleeds, and if 2,005 support goes this gets ugly