Deep Dive Analysis
JUST (JST)
2026-09-03 16:00 UTC · Elena Kowalski · 12,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.11
0.11
52W HIGH
0.11
0.11
DRAWDOWN
-2.9%
-2.9%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟢 DEPLOY — Trend-Following Signal: BUY
Trend-Following System · HIGH Conviction · 8 Bull / 0 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, MACD+, RSI healthy (57.9), rising 1m & 3m, within 10% of high
JST Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.04
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.11
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.11
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 57.9 | ADX (14) | 20.4 |
| 50d MA | 0.10 | 200d MA | 0.08 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.09 | Resistance | 0.11 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.38%/day | Trend | BUY |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| JST | +1.5% | +21.6% | +35.0% | +180.7% |
| BTC | +27.1% | +31.0% | +3.8% | -7.7% |
| ETH | +32.3% | +46.8% | +7.5% | -14.8% |
| SOL | +38.0% | +30.4% | +22.0% | -14.0% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 12,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
21,001
RETURN
+75.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-37.5%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| JST | +75.0% | +240.0% | -37.5% | 49 | 47% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (JST)
If you had deployed 12,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +180.7% | 37,673 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +135.3% | 28,240 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +125.8% | 27,093 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +116.1% | 25,931 |
JST Deployment Plan — 12,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Elena Kowalski (Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value). If you’re managing a 12,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,000 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.10 (-6.8%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-01-21 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-01-27 | SELL | 0.04 | -9.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | 0.04 | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | 0.04 | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-16 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-06-03 | SELL | 0.07 | +71.7% |
| 2026-06-28 | BUY | 0.09 | |
| 2026-08-24 | SELL | 0.10 | +13.9% |
| 2026-09-01 | BUY | 0.10 | |
| END | SELL | 0.11 | +3.8% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-03 16:00 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
JST up 180% on the year and somehow still under everyone’s radar. if that 0.11 resistance breaks its basically price discovery on the yearly chart
8 bull factors and zero bear ones feels a bit too clean. RSI 57 is fine but ADX at 20 means the trend is still weak, i would wait for expansion
@Marek fair on the ADX point but the whole stack matters, golden cross plus rising 50d is why this got flagged BUY not the factor count
fair, but ADX 20.4 was exactly Marek’s point. half those bull factors are momentum crossovers telling you the same thing twice. still long from 0.09 tho
also long from 0.09 here, and the 12k plan is tranching in above us. as long as 0.104 holds on the retest the entry is basically carried by the trend now
disagree on waiting tbh. ADX 20 rising off the floor is literally what every early trend looks like before it goes 35+. and its pinned at the 0.11 high with only 2.9% drawdown, someone is eating every dip
ADX 20 with price pinned at the 52w high is exactly when the expansion trade pays. waiting for 35 means paying 40 pct more for the same trend
paying 40 pct more for a confirmed ADX reading beats catching the fifth failed 0.11 break tho. four tests is four seller exits
four tests of the same lid with shrinking drawdown each time is sellers losing ammunition. the fifth break is the one that runs
wait for what exactly? ADX was 20 on every SOL run before it printed 40. the 0.11 lid has been tested four times and held with a 2.9% drawdown, that reads like accumulation to me
the ADX 20 to 40 SOL comparison is exactly right. by the time it reads 35 the move already paid the patient half
waiting for ADX 35 on a coin pinned at its 52 week high means paying for the same trend after the crowd piles in. id rather take the 0.104 retest than pay for confirmation
half the bull factors are the same signal measured twice, golden cross and rising 50d are basically cousins. still long from 0.095 tho
fair point on the factor overlap, golden cross and a rising 50d are basically cousins. still, price pinned at the 52w high with RSI 58 is about as clean as stage 2 gets.
waited for ADX confirmation on the last tron run and paid 60 percent more for the same trend. RSI 58 with four tests of 0.11 held is the setup, confirmation is the exit ramp for someone else
up 180% off the 0.03 low and each coin still costs less than a coffee. one clean break of 0.11 and the 1y chart basically goes blank
the costs less than coffee pitch dragged me into too many low float graves. JST at least has real borrow demand behind it, not just a cheap unit bias
coffee math got people wrecked on SHIB in 2021 lol. unit bias is real but at least JST has actual borrow demand behind it
cheaper than a coffee math buried a lot of people in 2021 but borrow demand actually rising is the difference. narrative coins never show real shorts paying to stay in
JST pinned 2.9 percent off its high with borrow demand actually rising. the boring tron ecosystem trade keeps working while flashier stuff bleeds
eight bull factors and one big green banner, kowalski clearly wants people buying the 0.11 breakout before it happens. im positioned small into the 0.105 zone, invalidation under 0.095
it says BUY right in the title lol. tranching in above 0.09 means the plan already priced in a retest anyway
it says BUY in the title of every one of these plans. the useful part is the 0.095 invalidation, everything above that is marketing
JST grinding 180% with zero listings drama all year is the quietest good chart in the tron stack. the 0.095 invalidation is a gift for anyone paying attention
JST at 0.11 after grinding up from 0.04 all year and the plan still tranches entries instead of lumping in. someone at the desk actually read the drawdown column.
borrow demand rising into a 52w high is the detail most people skipped. short squeeze fuel and organic longs pointing the same direction
borrow demand is the only factor on that board you cant paint with a chart. everything else is price agreeing with itself, real shorts paying to stay in is outside info