Deep Dive Analysis
Pi Network (PI)
2026-09-09 08:31 UTC · Marcus Reid · 30,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.01
0.01
DRAWDOWN
-81.4%
-81.4%
STAGE
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 5 Bull / 2 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, RSI healthy (56.1), strong bull trend (ADX 86.9)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, far below high
PI Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 56.1 | ADX (14) | 86.9 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.8%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| PI | +0.0% | +19.9% | +16.9% | — |
| BTC | +15.0% | +27.9% | +1.9% | -10.3% |
| ETH | +11.9% | +44.6% | +9.8% | -16.0% |
| SOL | +22.8% | +34.8% | +25.2% | -17.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 30,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
30,000
RETURN
+0.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN
0%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| PI | +0.0% | +0.0% | 0% | 0 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (PI)
If you had deployed 30,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +0.0% | 0 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +0.0% | 0 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +0.0% | 0 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +0.0% | 0 |
PI Deployment Plan — 30,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Marcus Reid (Long-term HODLer). If you’re managing a 30,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 4,500 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (-1.5%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 8 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Long-term HODLer.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-09 08:31 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
-81.4% drawdown and they still call it HOLD with low conviction lmao. thats not a hold, thats a hostage situation
hostage situation is the perfect tag. the HOLD only exists because nobody can actually exit size in that market anyway
Been mining PI on my phone since 2021. At this point the app is just a permanent resident on my home screen out of spite.
Same since 2021, three phones in and the referral circle is basically a family group chat now. spite holding is real
three phones is elite dedication. im down to one dusty device running on pure inertia at this point
The analysis is fine but doing technicals on PI is astrology. There is no liquid market to support RSI readings.
finally someone says it. RSI 56 means nothing when the order book is three wallets and a prayer. the WAIT tag is doing charity work on this one
ADX 86.9 on a coin half the market calls dead, weird combo. still not touching PI after that -81% drawdown tho
thats why the signal reads WAIT instead of BUY. RSI 56 with price stuck under the 50d is exactly the no-clear-edge zone
Agreed on WAIT. And honestly with half the dashboard rendering 0.00 I would not trust any signal off this page anyway
ADX measures trend strength not direction tho. 86.9 after that -81% drawdown just means the bleed was consistent lol
consistency in one direction is still technically a trend, some trend followers would kill for an ADX that clean. but on PI its a eulogy not a setup
exactly, 86.9 just says the bleed was organized. consistency in one direction isnt a signal, its an obituary
the whole dashboard shows price 0.00 and targets of -100%, somebody shipped this with the data feed broken lol
came here to say the same about the 0.00 fields. every PI writeup looks like a placeholder until the numbers actually render
two phones mining since 2022 out of pure spite. the battery replacement cost alone has exceeded any plausible future value of my stack but quitting now feels like losing
battery replacement math exceeding the stack value is the most pi network sentence ever written. salute to your sunk cost service
battery replacement exceeding stack value is the real pi network valuation model. we are all just donating hardware maintenance to a dashboard that renders zeros
the battery math is the only honest PnL statement in the whole PI ecosystem. three years of hardware costs vs a dashboard of zeros
a 30k deployment plan for a token whose own dashboard renders 0.00 is the most pi network thing imaginable
spite mining is the real use case at this point. my mom has been farming since 2022 and still asks me when it lists. thats the entire user base
hold rating on a token you cant exit without kyc hoops and a dashboard printing zeros. appreciate the honesty, the asset remains uninvestable
uninvestable is the right word. three years of mining and the highlight of the thread is a battery replacement spreadsheet