This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
World Liberty Financial (WLFI)
USD 0.0465
USD 0.1802
-74.2%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (29.2), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 29.9), distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.53)
Low: USD 0.0454
Now: USD 0.0465
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 29.2 | ADX (14) | 29.9 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.0542 | 200d MA | USD 0.0581 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.0454 | Resistance | USD 0.0572 |
| ATR Volatility | 1.87%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| WLFI | -18.4% | -18.2% | -19.5% | -56.6% |
| BTC | -7.6% | -5.7% | +29.4% | +10.2% |
| ETH | -7.3% | -11.2% | +42.3% | +10.2% |
| SOL | -14.3% | -16.2% | +21.3% | +2.9% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 10,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| WLFI | +0.7% | -21.0% | -4.5% | 11 | 54% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (WLFI)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 10,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -56.6% | USD 7,895 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -21.3% | USD 7,870 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -20.1% | USD 7,993 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -18.2% | USD 8,180 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify WLFI. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.0454 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.0572 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.0448 (-3.7% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.000871 (1.87%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-16 | BUY | USD 0.0570 | |
| 2026-09-17 | SELL | USD 0.0580 | +1.8% |
| 2026-09-18 | BUY | USD 0.0583 | |
| 2026-09-19 | SELL | USD 0.0590 | +1.3% |
| 2026-09-20 | BUY | USD 0.0584 | |
| 2026-09-21 | SELL | USD 0.0581 | -0.5% |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | USD 0.0574 | |
| 2026-09-23 | SELL | USD 0.0584 | +1.9% |
| 2026-09-26 | BUY | USD 0.0573 | |
| 2026-09-27 | SELL | USD 0.0585 | +2.1% |
| 2026-09-28 | BUY | USD 0.0585 | |
| 2026-09-29 | SELL | USD 0.0570 | -2.6% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
0 out of 10 bullish factors and a 74 percent drawdown from the 0.1802 high. The model is arriving rather late to what the chart has been saying for months.
The backtest log tells the real story though. Two trades since September and one closed at minus 2.6 percent. Even the model cannot find an edge in this bleed.
10k lump sum into wlfi a year ago is about 4,340 today per that table. thats not a dip thats a roast lol
imagine catching the 0.057 entry just to get sold flat two weeks later lmao. stage 4 label is the most honest part of the page