Deep Dive Analysis
World Liberty Financial (WLFI)
2026-10-02 09:30 UTC · Elena Kowalski · 12,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.06
0.06
52W HIGH
0.21
0.21
DRAWDOWN
-73.1%
-73.1%
STAGE
Stage 3 (Topping)
Stage 3 (Topping)
🔴 AVOID — DO NOT DEPLOY
Trend-Following System · MEDIUM Conviction · 2 Bull / 5 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: 50d rising, rising 1m & 3m
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, MACD-, far below high
WLFI Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.18
Low: 0.05
Now: 0.06
Low: 0.05
Now: 0.06
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 46.3 | ADX (14) | 8.3 |
| 50d MA | 0.06 | 200d MA | 0.07 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.05 | Resistance | 0.06 |
| ATR Volatility | 1.73%/day | Trend | SELL |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| WLFI | +1.4% | +2.3% | -8.6% | -68.7% |
| BTC | +12.0% | +37.5% | +12.2% | -3.0% |
| ETH | +9.8% | +48.4% | +31.6% | -6.3% |
| SOL | +19.4% | +68.0% | +43.5% | -3.7% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 12,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
12,079
RETURN
+0.7%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-4.5%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| WLFI | +0.7% | -28.5% | -4.5% | 11 | 54% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (WLFI)
If you had deployed 12,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -68.7% | 8,582 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -12.0% | 10,558 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -6.2% | 11,257 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -5.1% | 11,389 |
WLFI Deployment Plan — 12,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Elena Kowalski (Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value). If you’re managing a 12,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,000 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.05 (-3.5%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-09-16 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-17 | SELL | 0.06 | +1.8% |
| 2026-09-18 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-19 | SELL | 0.06 | +1.3% |
| 2026-09-20 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-21 | SELL | 0.06 | -0.5% |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-23 | SELL | 0.06 | +1.9% |
| 2026-09-26 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-27 | SELL | 0.06 | +2.1% |
| 2026-09-28 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-29 | SELL | 0.06 | -2.6% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-02 09:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
adx of 8.3 on a sell call is kinda funny, that trend is barely moving in any direction. the -68% over a year is the actual story here
^ exactly on the adx, 8.3 is basically a flat market, the signal is noise. still wouldnt touch it tho, support at 0.05 is one bad candle away from gone
Down 73% from the high while SOL did +68% in three months. At some point WLFI holders have to admit this only ever traded on a family name.
The comparison table is brutal. +2.3% in 3 months while ETH did +48.4%. Could have parked it literally anywhere else and done better
2 bull factors vs 5 bear and they still labeled it medium conviction lol. even the 12k backtest says run
2 bull vs 5 bear and price below both MAs, and its still only medium conviction lol. the AVOID tag is doing all the work here
0.18 a year ago, 0.06 now, and the 200d sits at 0.07. just drifting above 0.05 support on an adx of 8.3, nothing here until real volume shows up