This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Rain (RAIN)
USD 0.003700
USD 0.0182
-79.7%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (20.8), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 44.2), distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.18)
Low: USD 0.003300
Now: USD 0.003700
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 20.8 | ADX (14) | 44.2 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.008500 | 200d MA | USD 0.0120 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.003700 | Resistance | USD 0.009500 |
| ATR Volatility | 9.07%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| RAIN | -55.6% | -76.5% | -75.5% | -58.4% |
| BTC | -16.9% | -13.2% | +4.9% | +1.7% |
| ETH | -19.2% | -24.7% | +5.9% | -1.7% |
| SOL | -26.0% | -25.7% | -7.7% | -7.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 15,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| RAIN | -17.2% | -73.3% | -33.3% | 4 | 25% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (RAIN)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 15,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -58.4% | USD 4,008 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -72.2% | USD 4,168 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -72.0% | USD 4,200 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -71.7% | USD 4,252 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify RAIN. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.003700 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.009500 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.003030 (-18.1% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.000335 (9.07%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-06-07 | BUY | USD 0.0129 | |
| 2026-07-18 | SELL | USD 0.0141 | +9.6% |
| 2026-07-19 | BUY | USD 0.0146 | |
| 2026-07-20 | SELL | USD 0.0144 | -1.6% |
| 2026-07-22 | BUY | USD 0.0152 | |
| 2026-07-23 | SELL | USD 0.0143 | -5.7% |
| 2026-08-27 | BUY | USD 0.0175 | |
| 2026-09-15 | SELL | USD 0.0143 | -18.6% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
0 bullish factors out of 10 is brutal. even the model gave up on RAIN lmao
RSI at 20.8 is the one number worth watching here. oversold can stay oversold, but thats usually where i start a tiny bid
falling 1m and 3m with a death cross, RAIN needs volume not hope. sitting this out until it reclaims the 50d