This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Ripple USD (RLUSD)
USD 0.9999
USD 1.02
-1.6%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: near 52w high, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.31)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, vol 1.32x on down day
Low: USD 0.9917
Now: USD 0.9999
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 47.3 | ADX (14) | 20.1 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.9999 | 200d MA | USD 1.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.9990 | Resistance | USD 1.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.11%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| RLUSD | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| BTC | -16.9% | -13.2% | +4.9% | +1.7% |
| ETH | -19.2% | -24.7% | +5.9% | -1.7% |
| SOL | -26.0% | -25.7% | -7.7% | -7.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 12,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| RLUSD | -1.8% | +0.0% | -1.8% | 89 | 1% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (RLUSD)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 12,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -0.0% | USD 12,006 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +0.0% | USD 12,000 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +0.0% | USD 12,000 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -0.0% | USD 11,999 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify RLUSD. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.9990 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1.00 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.9978 (-0.2% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.001051 (0.11%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-10-21 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-22 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-26 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-27 | SELL | USD 0.9999 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-31 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-11-01 | SELL | USD 0.9999 | -0.0% |
| 2026-11-05 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-11-06 | SELL | USD 0.9999 | -0.0% |
| 2026-11-08 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-11-09 | SELL | USD 0.9999 | -0.0% |
| 2026-11-13 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-11-14 | SELL | USD 0.9999 | -0.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
a death cross on a stablecoin is the funniest thing i have read all week. its pegged bro, the 50d and 200d are basically the same number
^ but the vol ratio 1.31 on down days is real, someone is dumping size. even a 0.9999 peg wobbles before it breaks
Stage 4 downtrend at a 1.6% drawdown feels dramatic for RLUSD. OBV climbing while price sits under the 50d reads more like accumulation to me.