This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Global Dollar (USDG)
USD 0.9999
USD 1.04
-3.4%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: within 10% of high
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling
Low: USD 0.9993
Now: USD 0.9999
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 48.4 | ADX (14) | 7.8 |
| 50d MA | USD 1.00 | 200d MA | USD 1.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.9997 | Resistance | USD 1.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.01%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| USDG | -0.0% | -0.0% | +0.0% | -0.0% |
| BTC | -16.9% | -13.2% | +4.9% | +1.7% |
| ETH | -19.2% | -24.7% | +5.9% | -1.7% |
| SOL | -26.0% | -25.7% | -7.7% | -7.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 30,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| USDG | -0.3% | -0.0% | -0.3% | 42 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (USDG)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 30,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -0.0% | USD 29,997 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -0.0% | USD 29,998 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -0.0% | USD 29,998 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -0.0% | USD 30,000 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify USDG. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.9997 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1.00 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.9997 (-0.0% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.000114 (0.01%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-10-15 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-16 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-17 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-18 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-19 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-20 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-21 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-22 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-31 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-11-03 | SELL | USD 0.9998 | -0.0% |
| 2026-11-05 | BUY | USD 1.00 | |
| 2026-11-08 | SELL | USD 0.9998 | -0.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
it is a stablecoin trading at 0.9999 and the model calls it stage 4 downtrend over a fraction of a cent lmao
The 50d falling part is fair though. USDG spent weeks under 0.999 after the depeg wobble, and small drift on something this size can snowball if redemptions pick up.
fair on the redemptions risk, but 52w high is 1.04 and it held 0.9999 through this whole market dump. not gonna short a peg over a 50d line when it survived a selloff like this
surviving the dump is one thing, redemptions are the actual test. every dollar stablecoin that eventually broke also held 0.9999 through worse first
the model flagging drift at 0.9999 is the whole point. it caught the weeks under 0.999 after the wobble before anyone panicked, direction matters more than the fraction of a cent
4.3% market contraction overnight and usdg printed 0.9999. thats the part that matters, the 50d line debate is noise